Posted by Erik Lundh on January 11, 2008 at 3:24 PM
Hey folks,
For the last week, I've been following some artic air and snow that may be heading our way from the Siberia area. Last week it was -79 below zero in that part of the world. Now some local forecasters are starting to mention it also. Looks like we may get some winter shots around here after all. Here is a link to one of the computer models. It looks bitterly cold!! http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KTTD
Posted by James Walley on January 11, 2008 at 6:12 PM
While the model does, indeed, show the temperature getting down there, notice the precipitation figures for that time period -- pretty much zero. It looks to me like we're probably going to get the traditional northwest winter phenomenon: when it's cold enough for snow, it's clear; when stuff is falling from the sky, it's warm enough to keep it as rain.
ON EDIT: Interstingly enough, KOMO-TV in Seattle doesn't seem to be taking that projection seriously. I just got their long-term forecast for at least the first projected cold snap, and it reads as follows:
So for Tuesday through Friday, we're expecting generally sunny skies, although there will likely be some foggy, frosty mornings. Lows will be in the 20s in the outlying areas to near freezing in the city, and then highs during the day will probably be in the low 40s where the fog is stubborn, but if you break out, could warm well into the 50s.
I didn't see any appreciable precip. forcast either but you know the pnw... things can change in a hurry!
Posted by Jack Graham on January 11, 2008 at 11:23 PM
Folks,
Erik is on to something regarding the cold coming in about 10-12 days or so. It looks like cold air will be in place the week of the 21st. So far I haven't seen any predictions for precipt. but lets keep our fingers crossed. Check the snow totals below: 343" at Timberline! WOW!!!!
Also check out www.cpc/ncpc.noaa.gov or google the NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER. They are forecasting above precipt & below normal temps for Jan.
I am off to the Big Island to shoot for a week so I'll be extra cold when I get home!
JG
_____________________________________
Northwest Snow Report/ Accu Weather Premium
Friday, January 11, 2008
With all the stormy weather of late in the Northwest the snow has really been piling up from the Cascades on east. This is making for absolutely great skiing weather at all the resorts. As can be expected in a La Nina season, in general its been a snow winter all around.
Today I will give a look at snow totals so far this winter at select ski areas, and where those dont exist I will give you the current snow depth.
We are going into a less stormy pattern over the next 7 days. There will be some snow tomorrow and another round of snow and gusty winds Monday. Then mostly precipitation free, but chilly, weather Tuesday through Friday. Get out there and ski or shred some slopes!
Crystal Mountain-Season total of 235 inches
Stevens Pass-Season total of 216 inches
49 North-Season total of 108-153 inches
Timberline-Season total of 340 inches
Mt. Bachelor-Season total of 253 inches
Silver Mountain=Season Total of 109 inches
Willamette Pass-Base 73-97 inches
Mt. Baker-Base 143-151 inches
Mt. Spokane-Base67-89 inches
Mt. Ashland-Base 91-109 inches
Anthony Lakes-Base 57 inches
Bogus Basin-Base 49-55 inches
______________________________________
ACCU WEATHER LONG RANGE FORECAST:PDX
Friday 1/18 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Times of clouds and sun
High 49 ° F / RF 45 ° F , RF Shade 45 ° F . Low 40 ° F / RF 44 ° F . Max. UV 1 .
Saturday 1/19 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Cloudy with showers
High 45 ° F / RF 43 ° F , RF Shade 43 ° F . Low 34 ° F / RF 35 ° F . Max. UV 1 .
Sunday 1/20 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Mostly cloudy with a little snow
High 39 ° F / RF 40 ° F , RF Shade 39 ° F . Low 28 ° F / RF 10 ° F . Max. UV 1 .
Monday 1/21 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Windy and colder with partial sunshine
High 33 ° F / RF 14 ° F , RF Shade 13 ° F . Low 23 ° F / RF 0 ° F . Max. UV 1 .
Tuesday 1/22 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Windy and cold with sunshine
High 35 ° F / RF 16 ° F , RF Shade 15 ° F . Low 23 ° F / RF 6 ° F . Max. UV 2 .
Wednesday 1/23 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Cold with sunshine
High 34 ° F / RF 19 ° F , RF Shade 19 ° F . Low 24 ° F / RF 11 ° F . Max. UV 2 .
Thursday 1/24 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Sunshine, but cold
High 34 ° F / RF 20 ° F , RF Shade 19 ° F . Low 22 ° F / RF 10 ° F . Max. UV 2 .
Friday 1/25 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Mostly sunny and cold
High 35 ° F / RF 30 ° F , RF Shade 29 ° F . Low 24 ° F / RF 28 ° F . Max. UV 2 .
Posted by Adrian Klein on January 12, 2008 at 3:19 PM
I too see the forecast being more cold than normal but little to no precip. Thanks for the info though Erik! I am hoping we get some valley snow that sticks around for a day or two this year, it would be nice.
Posted by Tom Kloster on January 12, 2008 at 4:30 PM
The benefit of growing up here AND having a birthday during the last week of January is that you notice the fairly regular appearance of an arctic low that dominates our weather for a week or two between mid-January and early February. So to me, this is right on time! Though we usually only get valley snow on the front or back end, it opens up the possibility of freezing rain on the back end, too (treacherous, but photogenic!).
But most importantly, if it lasts a week or more, the Gorge waterfalls develop some impressive ice. In the 1970s, when we were in the last 20-year window of the weather cycle we're entering now, the ice formations were much more spectacular than we've had since the mid-1980s, but it seems like we're moving back in that direction. Somewhere in my boxes of slides, I've got a photo of Elowah Falls with the ice cone at the base completely encompassing the footbridge, along with the entire splash pool. That was the product of a wet winter and two weeks of arctic freeze. There were also a couple of winters when the ice buildup on the Benson Bridge became of concern, and was knocked off by lodge personnel!
Tom
Posted by Tom Kloster on January 12, 2008 at 5:18 PM
Oops... sorry if I morphed into Gramps on that last post! (...did I mention that we walked 40 miles through blizzards just to get to school..?)
Posted by Nancy Lamb on January 13, 2008 at 1:35 AM
Ooohhhh... sounds like it might be a great excuse to drive south for a weekend! Cool. Thanks, Erik.
Nancy
Posted by John Williams on January 13, 2008 at 11:43 PM
Tom,
For someone relatively "new" to the area, that's interesting that it is so common this time of year. Coincidentally, I just finished playing with an ice photo right before I read your post, and noted it was dated 1/15/05. I also remember the big ice storm in 1/04 (the first I've ever been in).
Discussion
8 repliesFor the last week, I've been following some artic air and snow that may be heading our way from the Siberia area. Last week it was -79 below zero in that part of the world. Now some local forecasters are starting to mention it also. Looks like we may get some winter shots around here after all. Here is a link to one of the computer models. It looks bitterly cold!! http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KTTD
ON EDIT: Interstingly enough, KOMO-TV in Seattle doesn't seem to be taking that projection seriously. I just got their long-term forecast for at least the first projected cold snap, and it reads as follows:
Erik is on to something regarding the cold coming in about 10-12 days or so. It looks like cold air will be in place the week of the 21st. So far I haven't seen any predictions for precipt. but lets keep our fingers crossed. Check the snow totals below: 343" at Timberline! WOW!!!!
Also check out www.cpc/ncpc.noaa.gov or google the NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER. They are forecasting above precipt & below normal temps for Jan.
I am off to the Big Island to shoot for a week so I'll be extra cold when I get home!
JG
_____________________________________
Northwest Snow Report/ Accu Weather Premium
Friday, January 11, 2008
With all the stormy weather of late in the Northwest the snow has really been piling up from the Cascades on east. This is making for absolutely great skiing weather at all the resorts. As can be expected in a La Nina season, in general its been a snow winter all around.
Today I will give a look at snow totals so far this winter at select ski areas, and where those dont exist I will give you the current snow depth.
We are going into a less stormy pattern over the next 7 days. There will be some snow tomorrow and another round of snow and gusty winds Monday. Then mostly precipitation free, but chilly, weather Tuesday through Friday. Get out there and ski or shred some slopes!
Crystal Mountain-Season total of 235 inches
Stevens Pass-Season total of 216 inches
49 North-Season total of 108-153 inches
Timberline-Season total of 340 inches
Mt. Bachelor-Season total of 253 inches
Silver Mountain=Season Total of 109 inches
Willamette Pass-Base 73-97 inches
Mt. Baker-Base 143-151 inches
Mt. Spokane-Base67-89 inches
Mt. Ashland-Base 91-109 inches
Anthony Lakes-Base 57 inches
Bogus Basin-Base 49-55 inches
______________________________________
ACCU WEATHER LONG RANGE FORECAST:PDX
Friday 1/18 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Times of clouds and sun
High 49 ° F / RF 45 ° F , RF Shade 45 ° F . Low 40 ° F / RF 44 ° F . Max. UV 1 .
Saturday 1/19 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Cloudy with showers
High 45 ° F / RF 43 ° F , RF Shade 43 ° F . Low 34 ° F / RF 35 ° F . Max. UV 1 .
Sunday 1/20 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Mostly cloudy with a little snow
High 39 ° F / RF 40 ° F , RF Shade 39 ° F . Low 28 ° F / RF 10 ° F . Max. UV 1 .
Monday 1/21 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Windy and colder with partial sunshine
High 33 ° F / RF 14 ° F , RF Shade 13 ° F . Low 23 ° F / RF 0 ° F . Max. UV 1 .
Tuesday 1/22 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Windy and cold with sunshine
High 35 ° F / RF 16 ° F , RF Shade 15 ° F . Low 23 ° F / RF 6 ° F . Max. UV 2 .
Wednesday 1/23 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Cold with sunshine
High 34 ° F / RF 19 ° F , RF Shade 19 ° F . Low 24 ° F / RF 11 ° F . Max. UV 2 .
Thursday 1/24 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Sunshine, but cold
High 34 ° F / RF 20 ° F , RF Shade 19 ° F . Low 22 ° F / RF 10 ° F . Max. UV 2 .
Friday 1/25 Get Details | Go Hourly |
Mostly sunny and cold
High 35 ° F / RF 30 ° F , RF Shade 29 ° F . Low 24 ° F / RF 28 ° F . Max. UV 2 .
But most importantly, if it lasts a week or more, the Gorge waterfalls develop some impressive ice. In the 1970s, when we were in the last 20-year window of the weather cycle we're entering now, the ice formations were much more spectacular than we've had since the mid-1980s, but it seems like we're moving back in that direction. Somewhere in my boxes of slides, I've got a photo of Elowah Falls with the ice cone at the base completely encompassing the footbridge, along with the entire splash pool. That was the product of a wet winter and two weeks of arctic freeze. There were also a couple of winters when the ice buildup on the Benson Bridge became of concern, and was knocked off by lodge personnel!
Tom
Nancy
For someone relatively "new" to the area, that's interesting that it is so common this time of year. Coincidentally, I just finished playing with an ice photo right before I read your post, and noted it was dated 1/15/05. I also remember the big ice storm in 1/04 (the first I've ever been in).