Weather Heads Up

Hey folks, thought id give you a heads up that I am becoming increasingly confident the mountains will get some snow next week. I noticed Pikes Peak was pretty white this morn, but im talking about real snow, maybe not as heavy as the first-day-o-fall storm we got a couple years back, and it looks like this will probably affect the Eastern Ranges more than the western ones, but the cold air looks pretty likely so that should help get you in the mood if you plan on shooting next week (dress warm!). Unfortuantely, looks like the better snow chances will come after i have to be back at work (tue-thu) but theres still an outside chance the storm could track further west and nail the mountains when the cold front blows through Monday morning. At the very least, Im hoping the front provides some interesting rapid weather changes Mon-Tue. The computer models are all over the place with the track of this storm, so it will be a few days before the picture becomes clear. At any rate, Im definitely looking forward to adding some white stuff to all the fall colors!

Thanks for the heads up Stan!

Thanks, Stan.
I have organized a hike up Mt. Rosa with a group from work for Monday, and might now hold off until all this passes and maybe plan on some winter shooting instead.

Thanks Stan!

RichieV

It appears that the forecasters are tending to like the Ensemble and also the GFS solution with this one. The ECMWF appears to not be favorable with the snow (ie., less CO snow). It will be interesting to see how this one works out as the weekend progresses.

And I'll be in Chicago, rocking out with Porcupine Tree and King's X.

Thanks Stan! Now, if you could just move that same forecast back about a week later for when I'll be out shooting, that would be great!

Seriously though, thanks for the update, and keep 'em coming if you have time!

Yeah, I need the snow on the 30th-4th! Not too much, just enough to bring the fall and early winter together.

Much appreciated!

Wow - thanks for the info! Any updates as we get closer would be greatly appreciated.

leaving tomorrow for CO. Bring it on!

Computer models all over the place ... that reminds me ...
http://failblog.org/2008/07/07/weatherman-fail/

Hey, at least I'm on topic.

That may work great with my plans to be in Crested Butte / Aspen the 24th through the 28th. Thanks for the info Stan.

Any chance of that snow making it down to Tucson

better get out the skis...

Thaks a lot, Stan, and hopefully another round maybe for next weekend?

Models have settled down today a bit--as Steven mentioned the European model is still furthest east but is closer to the North American models. Doesnt look like a monumental snowstorm--not enough cold air from Canada--but should be enough to put some snow on the summits! I especially like the eastern ranges--RMNP down to the Sangres. Not so much the San Juans--hopefully the Elks will get something. The storm sits over E Colorado or W Kansas pretty much all week, so it looks pretty cool and fall like at least for the Eastern spots--still pretty warm out west.

Thanks Stan, at Kenosha Pass this am it was 31F; frost was visible; and here was a fog layer on the lake.

Bill Brennan

The latest NAM (U.S. regional weather mode) is on track. I can see a couple inches of snow coming out of this storm on monday. Ok, im going to be silent now cause if i say any more i know im going to jynx it

First band of precip. has passed through Boulder (CO, not UT) at this time. As I look up at the flatirons from the office I see a little white stuff along the peaks. Snow level must have been down to about 7000'. Others reported seeing a wet snow flake mixed in the rain here in Boulder. Looks like the model forecasts are doing well at this time. Hopefully more to come over the next couple of days along the front range.

It worked--i kept my lips sealed and the storm delivered big time! About 6 inches at Independence, 2-4 at Maroon Bells, 3-10 pikes peak region, 4-10 sangres. Havent checked RMNP but i imagine they are doing well

No snow in town, but looks like the mountains got some nice snow. What's coming next?

How about a nice warm up through the weekend into early next week? Then maybe a more typical storm coming from the west arriving the middle of next week to dump a little more snow on the San Juan peaks? Will that work?